CP410 - PROBABILITY 2
(objectives)
To gain a solid knowledge of the basic aspects of probabilità theory: construction of probabilità measures on measurable spaces, 0-1 law, independence, conditional expectation, random variables, convergence of random variables, characteristic functions, central limit theorem, branching processes, discrete martingales.
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Code
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20402093 |
Language
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ITA |
Type of certificate
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Profit certificate
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Credits
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7
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Scientific Disciplinary Sector Code
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MAT/06
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Contact Hours
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60
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Type of Activity
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Related or supplementary learning activities
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Derived from
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20410345 CP410 - Theory of Probability in Computational Sciences LM-40 CAPUTO PIETRO
(syllabus)
Introductory example: the branching process.
Measure theory. Existence and uniqueness theorems for probability measures. Borel-Cantelli lemma 1. Random variables. Independence. Borel-Cantelli lemma 2. Kolmogorv's 0/1 law.
Integration. Expected value. Monotone convergence and the dominated convergence theorem.
Inequalities: Markov, Jensen, Hoelder, Cauchy-Schwarz. Laws of large numbers.
Product measures. Fubini's theorem. Joint laws.
Conditional expectation with respect to a sub sigma-algebra.
Martingales. Stopping times. Optional stopping and applications. Hotting times. Convergence theorem for martingales bounded in L^1 and L^2. Examples, Kolmogorov's strong law of large numbers.
Convergence in distribution and the central limit theorem.
(reference books)
D. Williams, Probability with martingales. Cambridge University Press, (1991).
R. Durrett, Probability: Theory and Examples. Thomson, (2000).
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Dates of beginning and end of teaching activities
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From to |
Delivery mode
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Traditional
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Attendance
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not mandatory
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Evaluation methods
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Written test
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